Peter Bechtold

Ensemble Forecasts; Ensemble Data Assimilation; Weak-Constraint 4D-Var; Numerical Weather Prediction; Dynamical Core; Earth System Model; Model Uncertainty; Stochastic Parametrization

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion of stochastic schemes to represent model …

martin-leutbecher
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Stochastic Physics; SPPT; MJO; ENSO; ITCZ

Impact of stochastic physics on tropical precipitation in the coupled ECMWF model

Uncertainties in parametrized processes in general circulation models can be represented as stochastic perturbations to the model formulation. The European Centre for …

aneesh-subramanian
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