Article-Journal

Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers

A key aim of observational campaigns is to sample atmosphere-ocean phenomena to improve understanding of these phenomena, and in turn, numerical weather prediction. In early …

david-a.-lavers

Estimation and prediction of the upper ocean circulation in the Bay of Bengal

The upper ocean stratification and circulation in the Bay of Bengal (BOB) plays a key role in the northward propagating monsoon intraseasonal oscillation during the months of …

ganesh-gopalakrishnan

A Reliability Budget Analysis of CESM-DART

A reliability budget is used to diagnose potential sources of error (departure from observations) in a new prototype coupled ocean-atmosphere ensemble Kalman filter reanalysis …

jonathan-eliashiv

SKRIPS v1.0: a regional coupled ocean-atmosphere modeling framework (MITgcm-WRF) using ESMF/NUOPC, description and preliminary results for the Red Sea

A new regional coupled ocean-atmosphere model is developed and its implementation is presented in this paper. The coupled model is based on two open-source community model …

rui-sun

Remote and local influences in forecasting Pacific SST: a linear inverse model and a multimodel ensemble study

A suite of statistical linear inverse models (LIMs) are used to understand the remote and local SST variability that influences SST predictions over the North Pacific region. …

daniela-faggiani-dias

Predictability of US West Coast Ocean Temperatures is not solely due to ENSO

The causes of the extreme and persistent warming in the Northeast Pacific from the winter of 2013/14 to that of 2014/15 are still not fully understood. While global warming may …

antonietta-capotondi

Ocean Observations to Improve Our Understanding, Modeling, and Forecasting of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Variability

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts have the potential to provide advance information about weather and climate events. The high heat capacity of water means that the …

aneesh-c.-subramanian

Observational Needs Supporting Marine Ecosystems Modeling and Forecasting: From the Global Ocean to Regional and Coastal Systems

Many coastal areas host rich marine ecosystems and are also centers of economic activities, including fishing, shipping and recreation. Due to the socioeconomic and ecological …

antonietta-capotondi

Integrated Observations of Global Surface Winds, Currents, and Waves: Requirements and Challenges for the Next Decade

Ocean surface winds, currents, and waves play a crucial role in exchanges of momentum, energy, heat, freshwater, gases, and other tracers between the ocean, atmosphere, and ice. …

ana-b.-villas-boas

Experimental Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Forecasting of Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western United States

A multimodel evaluation of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) hindcast skill of atmospheric rivers (ARs) out to 4-week lead over the western United States is presented for three …

michael-j.-deflorio