Article-Journal

Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

Initialized climate predictions offer distinct benefits for multiple stakeholders. This Review discusses initialized prediction on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S), seasonal to …

gerald-a.-meehl

Enhancing ensemble data assimilation into one-way-coupled models with one-step-ahead smoothing

This study investigates the filtering problem with one-way coupled (OWC) state-space systems, for which the joint ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is the standard solution. In this …

naila-f.-raboudi

Data Gaps within Atmospheric Rivers over the Northeastern Pacific

Conventional observations of atmospheric rivers (ARs) over the northeastern Pacific Ocean are sparse. Satellite radiances are affected by the presence of clouds and heavy …

minghua-zheng

Bay of Bengal Intraseasonal Oscillations and the 2018 Monsoon Onset

In the Bay of Bengal, the warm, dry boreal spring concludes with the onset of the summer monsoon and accompanying southwesterly winds, heavy rains, and variable air-sea fluxes. …

emily-shroyer

West Coast Forecast Challenges and Development of Atmospheric River Reconnaissance

Water management and flood control are major challenges in the western United States. They are heavily influenced by atmospheric river (AR) storms that produce both beneficial …

f.-martin-ralph

Tropical climate variability in the Community Earth System Model: Data Assimilation Research Testbed

A new prototype coupled ocean-atmosphere Ensemble Kalman Filter reanalysis product, the Community Earth System Model using the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (CESM-DART), is …

jonathan-eliashiv

Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments

Marine ecosystem forecasting is an area of active research and rapid development. Promise has been shown for skillful prediction of physical, biogeochemical, and ecological …

michael-g.-jacox

Machine Learning for Stochastic Parameterization: Generative Adversarial Networks in the Lorenz `96 Model

Stochastic parameterizations account for uncertainty in the representation of unresolved subgrid processes by sampling from the distribution of possible subgrid forcings. Some …

ii-gagne

How Does El Nino-Southern Oscillation Change Under Global Warming-A First Look at CMIP6

The latest generation of coupled models, the sixth Coupled Models Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), is used to study the changes in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a …

hege-beate-fredriksen