Article-Journal

Sensitivity Studies of the Red Sea Eddies Using Adjoint Method

Adjoint sensitivity analysis is applied to a set of eddies in the Red Sea using a high-resolution Massachusetts Institute of Technology general circulation model and its adjoint …

peng-zhan

Improving Weather Forecast Skill through Reduced-Precision Data Assimilation

A new approach for improving the accuracy of data assimilation, by trading numerical precision for ensemble size, is introduced. Data assimilation is inherently uncertain …

sam-hatfield

Circulation Drivers of Atmospheric Rivers at the North American West Coast

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are mechanisms of strong moisture transport capable of bringing heavy precipitation to the West Coast of North America, which drives water resources and …

kristen-guirguis

Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project Goals and Experimental Design

The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) is an international collaborative effort to understand and quantify the uncertainties in atmospheric river …

christine-a.-shields

The role of wind gusts in upper ocean diurnal variability

Upper ocean processes play a key role in air‐sea coupling, with variability on both short and long time scales. The diurnal cycle associated with diurnal solar insolation and …

donata-giglio

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion of stochastic schemes to represent model …

martin-leutbecher

Seasonal and decadal forecasts of Atlantic Sea surface temperatures using a linear inverse model

Predictability of Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) on seasonal and decadal timescales is investigated using a suite of statistical linear inverse models (LIM). …

benjamin-huddart

Maintaining Momentum in Climate Model Development

As the current funding for climate process teams comes to an end, scientists emphasize the continuing need for teams that translate basic research into improved climate models.

caroline-ummenhofer

Impact of stochastic physics on tropical precipitation in the coupled ECMWF model

Uncertainties in parametrized processes in general circulation models can be represented as stochastic perturbations to the model formulation. The European Centre for …

aneesh-subramanian

Ensemble superparameterization versus stochastic parameterization: A comparison of model uncertainty representation in tropical weather prediction

Stochastic schemes to represent model uncertainty in the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble prediction system has helped improve its probabilistic …

aneesh-c.-subramanian