Aneesh Subramanian

A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming

The early twentieth-century warming (EW; 1910-45) and the mid-twentieth-century cooling (MC; 1950-80) have been linked to both internal variability of the climate system and …

karsten-haustein

The Risks of Contracting the Acquisition and Processing of the Nation's Weather and Climate Data to the Private Sector (vol 99, pg 869, 2018)

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yolande-l.-serra

Improving Weather Forecast Skill through Reduced-Precision Data Assimilation

A new approach for improving the accuracy of data assimilation, by trading numerical precision for ensemble size, is introduced. Data assimilation is inherently uncertain …

sam-hatfield

GCMs With Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Their MJO Simulations

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in-sik-kang

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion of stochastic schemes to represent model …

martin-leutbecher

Seasonal and decadal forecasts of Atlantic Sea surface temperatures using a linear inverse model

Predictability of Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures (SST) on seasonal and decadal timescales is investigated using a suite of statistical linear inverse models (LIM). …

benjamin-huddart

Maintaining Momentum in Climate Model Development

As the current funding for climate process teams comes to an end, scientists emphasize the continuing need for teams that translate basic research into improved climate models.

caroline-ummenhofer

Impact of stochastic physics on tropical precipitation in the coupled ECMWF model

Uncertainties in parametrized processes in general circulation models can be represented as stochastic perturbations to the model formulation. The European Centre for …

aneesh-subramanian

Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model

The Climate SPHINX (Stochastic Physics HIgh resolutioN eXperiments) project is a comprehensive set of ensemble simulations aimed at evaluating the sensitivity of present and …

paolo-davini